Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.541216 0.594767 0.653651 0.723639 0.805132 0.897738 1.011966
2024-12-15 0.454376 0.532987 0.628423 0.755224 0.923159 1.143978 1.467424
2024-12-22 0.383451 0.471225 0.585824 0.751925 0.996924 1.364685 2.004993
2024-12-29 0.345424 0.441376 0.574722 0.783762 1.125604 1.714077 2.964630
2025-01-05 0.303935 0.398676 0.536094 0.763902 1.166419 1.940119 3.906299
2025-01-12 0.266009 0.355095 0.488105 0.717359 1.145746 2.041517 4.686418
2025-01-19 0.236507 0.320073 0.447732 0.674785 1.119253 2.119135 5.520261
2025-01-26 0.223768 0.308604 0.442394 0.691220 1.212708 2.526211 8.228274
2025-02-02 0.218811 0.308339 0.454824 0.742120 1.397469 3.317150 15.617295
2025-02-09 0.207504 0.296576 0.445927 0.749661 1.485512 3.905141 26.332289
2025-02-16 0.193185 0.278513 0.423763 0.725951 1.487046 4.194539 38.190166
2025-02-23 0.183337 0.267047 0.412137 0.722424 1.542510 4.775483 71.247174
2025-03-02 0.174288 0.256814 0.402799 0.725064 1.626882 5.675129 211.268719
2025-03-09 0.166532 0.248380 0.396330 0.734304 1.742367 7.037020 3170.394258
2025-03-16 0.157099 0.236289 0.381610 0.721746 1.784750 8.107319 NaN
2025-03-23 0.152473 0.232338 0.382391 0.747445 1.979449 11.160704 NaN
2025-03-30 0.143938 0.220637 0.366305 0.727127 1.990672 12.600748 NaN
2025-04-06 0.134042 0.205818 0.342565 0.683069 1.888535 12.390342 NaN
2025-04-13 0.125303 0.192669 0.321341 0.643114 1.792537 12.119910 NaN
2025-04-20 0.122083 0.189518 0.320598 0.658302 1.943781 16.554137 NaN
2025-04-27 0.121580 0.191375 0.330579 0.705586 2.282689 30.218119 NaN
2025-05-04 0.117996 0.187104 0.326845 0.712563 2.429371 43.908712 NaN
2025-05-11 0.112640 0.179105 0.314193 0.690524 2.402783 49.791733 NaN